Winning the Hardware Software Game Winning the Hardware-Software Game - 2nd Edition

Using Game Theory to Optimize the Pace of New Technology Adoption
  • How do you encourage speedier adoption of your product or service?
  • How do you increase the value your product or service creates for your customers?
  • How do you extract more of the value created by your product or service for yourself?

Read more...

Latest Comments

  • Anonymous said More
    Great explanation for the relationship... 4 days ago.
  • Anonymous said More
    nice analysis, thanks Wednesday, 21 October 2020
  • Anonymous said More
    The fact that CBD from marijuana is... Sunday, 14 June 2020
  • Anonymous said More
    This was excellent and extremely... Tuesday, 21 April 2020
  • Anonymous said More
    Well written. Well constructed. Tuesday, 13 August 2019

In this final blog entry in the series, I summarize what I have covered so far with my proposals for government intervention, I look at the actual role of government in today's society, then I list a couple of critical issues that the actual role of government creates for society.

Theoretical Goal of Government

Let me summarize what I have covered so far.

1.  My goal is to look at a new society being established in which each citizen is endowed with the rights of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.

2.  The citizens of the new society which to establish a government to uphold their rights.

3.  I proposed that such a government should satisfy the following criteria:

A.  Government should intervene in the lives of the citizens only when the total social benefits of doing so outweigh the costs

B.  The government should provide and enforce laws and infrastructure to facilitate a civil society, that is, governments should

i.  Hold citizens accountable for their actions

ii.  Provide citizens with a civil and criminal justice system

iii.  Provide citizens with a property rights system

C.  The government should facilitate an efficient economy. Since free markets are efficient when they lead to competitive equilibria, government intervention will only be warranted (necessary not sufficient condition) when there are market failures

i.  When markets are characterized by asymmetric information, government can improve social welfare by

a.  requiring information disclosure by parties with private information

b.  putting the legal liability on parties with private information

c.  provide for insurance in other risky situations

ii.  When markets are characterized by externalities, government can improve social welfare by taxing or subsidizing citizens actions

iii.  When markets are characterized by natural monopoly, government can improve social welfare by establishing a regulated monopoly

iv.  When markets are characterized as public goods, government can improve social welfare by subsidizing or directly providing for the provision of public goods

 

Actual Role of Government

Now consider the portion of the economy that government should account for if it were to satisfy my proposed criteria of

  • Upholding citizens’ rights of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness
  • Intervening only when the total social benefits of doing so exceed the costs
  • Facilitating a civil society
  • Facilitating an efficient economy

Make sure to include in that portion of the total economy that government should account for all aspects of the burden of government on the nation:

  1. The portion of GNP accounted for by the Federal government
  2. The portion of GNP accounted for by state governments
  3. The portion of GNP accounted for by local governments
  4. The portion of GNP accounted for by citizens’ compliance with government laws and regulations.

What do you think? A quarter of the economy (25%)? A third (33%)?

Let’s see what portion of the total economy government has actually accounted for:

If you include the costs citizens must incur to comply with government laws and regulations, the portion of the current economy that government now accounts for is 60%:

Sources of information in the above two graphs:

Is it possible for a people to be free and to be able to pursue happiness, if more than half of the nation’s resources are taken from its citizens and expended by government?

What happened to a government that would serve only to facilitate a civil society and an efficient economy?

Let’s take a closer look at where Federal outlays are occurring:

The vast majority (67%) of 2011 Federal outlays are spent on human resources. Let’s take a closer look at where that human resources spending is going.

The data indicate that in 2011 the portion of Federal outlays were:

  • 10% for Health
  • 13% for Medicare
  • 17% for Income Security
  • 20% for Social Security

That is almost a quarter (23%) of 2011 Federal outlays went to cover health expenses and an additional 37% of 2011 Federal outlays went to cover income and social security.

So now that I’ve proposed what role a theoretical government should play in society and then examined what role the actual government has played, a few critical issues come to mind.

 

Critical Issues

So now that I’ve proposed what role a theoretical government should play in society and then examined what role the actual government has played, a few critical issues come to mind.

 

To what extent should government be responsible for the (minimum) well-being of its citizens? How does society determine what the minimum well-being of its citizens should be?

The data on Federal government spending indicate that 60% of 2011 Federal outlays, or equivalently, 14.4% (= 60% x 24%) of GNP was used for health and income expenses.

From the Heritage Foundation:

As scholar James Q. Wilson has stated, “The poorest Americans today live a better life than all but the richest persons a hundred years ago.” In 2005, the typical household defined as poor by the government had a car and air conditioning. For entertainment, the household had two color televisions, cable or satellite TV, a DVD player, and a VCR. If there were children, especially boys, in the home, the family had a game system, such as an Xbox or a PlayStation. In the kitchen, the household had a refrigerator, an oven and stove, and a microwave. Other household conveniences included a clothes washer, clothes dryer, ceiling fans, a cordless phone, and a coffee maker.

If one assumes that people who are not able to provide (completely) for themselves should be cared for by government, then this means that (more) productive members of society become responsible for paying for the well-being of unproductive or less productive members. In other words, more productive members of society have less liberty or freedoms with respect to government burdens than do less productive members. This seems rather perverse to me.

At the same time, if people know the government will provide for them, then they have less (no?) incentive to provide for themselves. This creates a serious moral hazard problem, especially as it relates to people saving for retirement.

 

To what extent should younger generations be responsible for older generations?

To the extent that older generations incur debt that younger generations become responsible for, then current and future generations have less liberty than older generations. Another perverse result.

Thomas Jefferson believed that each generation was responsible for creating its own laws and paying for its own debts. As Richard K. Matthews in The Radical Politics of Thomas Jefferson: A Revisionist View, describes Jefferson’s beliefs:

Each generation is responsible for its own monetary matters; if one generation contracts debt which it cannot pay, the succeeding generation (calculated by Jefferson on the basis of mortality tables to evolve every nineteen years) is under no compulsion to do so. Furthermore, by making this principle public policy (i.e., known to the world), both borrowers and lenders are liable either for observing these rules or paying for the consequences.

In the nineteenth year, automatic termination applies to all the laws and constitutions of the society. Quite simply, this means that approximately every twenty years, if not more often, society must reaffirm or construct anew all of its statutes and institutions… He {Jefferson] wants to institutionalize revolution in order to keep the Spirit of 1776 perpetually alive. By this bold innovation, he hopes, first, to sustain every man’s interest in governing himself, as opposed to being either politically and economically ruled from the grave or being government by a permanent aristocracy ; and second, to keep the positive laws of society in harmony with the evolutionary progress of man.

 

When government intervenes, who decides when the problem has been sufficiently addressed?

To the extent that certain citizens set higher expectations than others, those citizens are imposing greater burdens on taxpayers, thereby depriving citizens of liberty.

How clean should the air and water be?

How much government-reimbursed medical care should old people receive?

How many roads or bridges should be built? How large or sturdy should they be?

How many policeman are enough to provide “adequate” safety?

How much information disclosure is “enough”? For pharmaceutical companies? For investors? For used car buyers?

How much access should businesses be required to provide for disabled individuals?

 

What happens when the burden of government becomes too much for the productive people who are paying the costs?

More Blogs

Cannabis Cultivation: Seeds vs. Clones

26-09-2020 - Hits:1763 - Ruth Fisher - avatar Ruth Fisher

Cannabis plants are dioecious, that is, they are either male or female. Plant reproduction occurs naturally, when male plants pollinate female plants, causing female plants to produce seeds. New cannabis plants can thus be cultivated by collecting seeds from fertilized females and replanting them, or by buying seeds generated by...

Read more

Cannabis Cultivation: Indoor vs. Outdoor vs. Greenhouse

22-09-2020 - Hits:1448 - Ruth Fisher - avatar Ruth Fisher

There are three basic locales for growing cannabis: indoors, outdoors, or in greenhouses. Greenhouses enable growers to benefit from natural light, while also being able to strategically block out light to induce quicker flowering. Budget-friendly greenhouse operations are more subject natural climate variations, while higher-end greenhouses are more similar to...

Read more

Would the Endocannabinoid System Have Been Discovered Earlier without the Ban on…

10-06-2020 - Hits:1588 - Ruth Fisher - avatar Ruth Fisher

Cannabis was used medicinally in the Western world from the mid-1800s through 1940, even though doctors did not understand cannabis’s mechanisms of action. The Marijuana Tax At of 1937 Federally banned the use of cannabis in the US for either medical or recreational uses, and it restricted scientific studies of...

Read more

How Regulations Shape the Cannabis Industry

16-05-2020 - Hits:2367 - Ruth Fisher - avatar Ruth Fisher

  The cannabis industry is highly regulated, and the various regulations play a powerful role in shaping the structure, and thus outcome, of the industry. This analysis examines the following questions: How do cannabis market regulations shape market structure? Are the resulting outcomes favorable to suppliers and/or consumers? What are the pros and cons...

Read more

Cannabis Industry Rollouts: Lessons Learned from States’ Experiences

27-04-2020 - Hits:1754 - Ruth Fisher - avatar Ruth Fisher

Bart Schaneman from MJ Business Daily recently released, “2020 Cultivation Snapshot: U.S. Wholesale Marijuana Prices & Supply.” The information contained in the report helped cement certain insights I’ve had about the evolution of the cannabis market. Background info In addition to the myriad other laws and regulations, all states essentially have two...

Read more

A Data-Generating System: A Framework for Data Assessment

14-04-2020 - Hits:1069 - Ruth Fisher - avatar Ruth Fisher

Suppose I gave you, the Data Analyst, a dataset of information on sales of Ford automobiles, and suppose I told you to use that dataset to predict total national sales of Ford automobiles for next 12 months. What would you want to know about the data you were given? If you...

Read more

Hemp and CBD Market Supply

06-04-2020 - Hits:1890 - Ruth Fisher - avatar Ruth Fisher

The information in this post was compiled in an attempt to understand 2 issues: Does the cultivation of hemp differ depending on the hemp product supplied (fiber, seed, or flower)? Is the CBD produced from hemp (cannabis with ≤ 0.3% THC) identical to the CBD produced from marijuana (cannabis with > 0.3%...

Read more

Trends in Cannabis Patents Over Time

08-12-2019 - Hits:2353 - Ruth Fisher - avatar Ruth Fisher

Patent Counts by Year I searched the USPTO patent database for all patents for which the patent abstract contained any of the following terms: cannabis, cannabinoid, marijuana, tetrahydrocannabinoid, or cannabinol. My search yielded 914 patents. As seen in Figure 1, there were only a handful of cannabis patents each year until the...

Read more